The North Star GDP Estimate for the first quarter is 11.08% year over year growth (20.72% QoQ). The North Star GDP Forecast for the second quarter is at 12.01% year over year growth (-1.09% QoQ) up from 9.55% last week. The
GDP Forecast page on the tab above is updated periodically during the week.
Stock and bond prices were up for the week led by Small Caps and Emerging Markets. The red (or green) area indicates 2-3 standard deviations above (or below) the normal 21 day trading range. The gray area indicates 1-2 standard deviations above (or below) the normal 21 day trading range.
The Leading Indicator for International Developed Markets (EFA) is at 4.82%. The Leading Indicator for International Emerging Markets (EEM) decreased by 0.38% percentage points to 8.38%. On the chart below, you can click on the blue and red buttons to see the Leading Indicator growth rate and an ETF for each country.
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These charts have limitations. Economic data is often revised after the fact. The market is forward looking and anticipates future events. The unexpected can and will happen. The market is continually changing. The conditions of the past are different from the present. Past performance is not an indication of future performance.
