The Daily Leading Index increased by 0.08% percentage points to 0.74%. The Daily Coincident Index is at 2.37%. The
Daily Leading Index page on the tab above is updated daily during the week.
Stocks ended the week lower after the Employment Report was released showing solid wage growth. The unemployment rate is down to 4.9%. The 10 year Treasury is at 1.84%, its lowest yield in a year. The charts below show the normal trading ranges for various indices for the last six months. I have updated the charts to include all of the asset classes that I track. The red (or green) area indicates 2-3 standard deviations above (or below) the normal 21 day trading range. The gray area indicates 1-2 standard deviations above (or below) the normal 21 day trading range.
There were not any updates to the International Leading Indices during the week. The Leading Indicator for International Developed Markets (EFA) is at 1.69%. The Leading Indicator for International Emerging Markets (EEM) is at 2.98%. On the chart below, you can click on the blue and red buttons to see the Leading Indicator growth rate and an ETF for each country.
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These charts have limitations. Economic data is often revised after the fact. The market is forward looking and anticipates future events. The unexpected can and will happen. The market is continually changing. The conditions of the past are different from the present. Past performance is not an indication of future performance.