The Daily Leading Index decreased by 0.40% percentage points to 0.34%. The Daily Coincident Index is at 2.37%. The
Daily Leading Index page on the tab above is updated daily during the week.
Stocks rebounded on Friday ending the week slightly down for the week. Bond prices were mostly up with the yield on the 10 year Treasury falling to 1.75%. When the Fed raised rates in December of 2015, they were forecasting rates rising by 1% in 2016 implying 4 rate hikes of 0.25%. The Fed Funds futures are currently implying no rate hikes through February 2017 according to data from CME Group's
FedWatch tool. In fact, recently the Fed has been talking about the possibility of negative rates. The charts below show the normal trading ranges for various indices for the last six months. I have updated the charts to include all of the asset classes that I track. The red (or green) area indicates 2-3 standard deviations above (or below) the normal 21 day trading range. The gray area indicates 1-2 standard deviations above (or below) the normal 21 day trading range.
The Leading Indicator for International Developed Markets (EFA) decreased by 0.58% percentage points to 1.11%. The Leading Indicator for International Emerging Markets (EEM) is at 3.04%. On the chart below, you can click on the blue and red buttons to see the Leading Indicator growth rate and an ETF for each country.
All information, data and analysis provided by this website is for informational purposes only and is not a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Click here for more details.
These charts have limitations. Economic data is often revised after the fact. The market is forward looking and anticipates future events. The unexpected can and will happen. The market is continually changing. The conditions of the past are different from the present. Past performance is not an indication of future performance.
