The North Star GDP Estimate for the fourth quarter is -1.25% year over year growth (5.22% QoQ). The North Star GDP Forecast for the first quarter is at 0.18% year over year growth (5.31% QoQ). The
GDP Forecast page on the tab above is updated periodically during the week.
The S&P 500 (SPY) posted positive gains each day as it continued to move into record territory. Volatility in the markets has dropped back to where it was a couple of weeks ago as the GameStop saga has quieted down. The red (or green) area indicates 2-3 standard deviations above (or below) the normal 21 day trading range. The gray area indicates 1-2 standard deviations above (or below) the normal 21 day trading range.
There were not any updates to the International Leading Indices during the week. The Leading Indicator for International Developed Markets (EFA) is at -0.58%. The Leading Indicator for International Emerging Markets (EEM) is at 9.39%. On the chart below, you can click on the blue and red buttons to see the Leading Indicator growth rate and an ETF for each country.
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These charts have limitations. Economic data is often revised after the fact. The market is forward looking and anticipates future events. The unexpected can and will happen. The market is continually changing. The conditions of the past are different from the present. Past performance is not an indication of future performance.
