Sunday, March 16, 2014

Charting Last Week (3/10 - 3/14/14)

The Daily Leading Index fell by .18% percentage points to 3.94%. The Daily Coincident Index is at 2.95%. The Daily Leading Index page on the tab above is updated daily during the week.
Equities were down for the week with the Ukraine crisis in the news. International Developed Markets (EFA) led the way with a decline of 3.75% for the week. Bond prices were mostly up for the week led by Long Term Treasuries (TLT) which were up 2.48% for the week. The charts below show the normal trading ranges for various indices for the last six months. The red (or green) area indicates 2-3 standard deviations above (or below) the normal 21 day trading range. The gray area indicates 1-2 standard deviations above (or below) the normal 21 day trading range.
The Leading Index for the International Developed Markets (EFA) fell to 4.54%. The Leading Index for International Emerging Markets (EEM) fell to 3.86%. On the chart below, you can click on the blue and red buttons to see the Leading Indicator growth rate and an ETF for each country.
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These charts have limitations.  Economic data is often revised after the fact.  The market is forward looking and anticipates future events.  The unexpected can and will happen.  The market is continually changing.  The conditions of the past are different from the present.  Past performance is not an indication of future performance.